The Meteorological Department has predicted the formation of cyclones in the Bay of Bengal this month, while also stating that the southwest monsoon may depart from Bangladesh in the first half of October. The information was given in the department’s long-term forecast on Thursday, October 1. According to the forecast, two to three low-pressure areas may form in the Bay of Bengal during October, and one of these could develop into a depression or a cyclone. This raises the possibility of a significant weather system affecting the region during the month, even as the monsoon season comes to an end.
The forecast also indicates that rainfall across the country this month may be less than normal. Despite the overall expectation of below-average rain, there may be thunderstorms in the country for three to four days during this period. The temperature outlook states that day and night temperatures may gradually decrease in the second half of the month. However, the agency also said that day and night temperatures may be higher than normal this month. This suggests that while some cooling may occur later in October, the overall temperature pattern could remain warmer than usual for the time of year.
The combination of possible cyclonic activity in the Bay of Bengal, the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon, below-normal rainfall and above-normal temperatures means that October could bring mixed weather conditions. The department’s long-term forecast provides an early indication of what may lie ahead, and it will be important for authorities and the public to monitor updates, especially if any low-pressure area intensifies into a depression or cyclone. The forecast is particularly relevant for coastal areas and for sectors such as agriculture, fishing and disaster management, which are sensitive to changes in rainfall, temperature and storm activity.
